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Risk-reward ratio

R:R, reward to risk

The risk-reward ratio compares the possible gain up to the target with the possible loss down to the stop. A ratio of 3 means three dollars of possible gain for every dollar at risk.

In the screenerFor option setups the screener sets target and stop as fixed percentages of the premium, for example +50 % and −50 %. Measured on the premium, the ratio is about 1 to 1, plus the time exit.

Calculating the ratio

Risk-reward = (target − entry) ÷ (entry − stop)

Example: entry at $50, stop at $47, target at $59. Risk $3, possible gain $9, ratio 3 to 1.

Entry at $50, stop at $47, target at $59: $3 risk against $9 possible gain, a ratio of 3 to 1.
Entry at $50, stop at $47, target at $59: $3 risk against $9 possible gain, a ratio of 3 to 1. Tap to enlarge

Why the ratio matters, and its limits

With a ratio of 3 to 1 you can be wrong in two out of three trades and still roughly break even, before costs. With 1 to 1 you need to be right more than half the time.

A high ratio is only useful if the target is realistic. A target far beyond the next resistance or the expected move looks good on paper and is rarely reached.

Frequently asked questions

What is a good risk-reward ratio?

Many traders look for at least 2 to 1. More important is the combination with the hit rate: a lower ratio can work with a high hit rate and the other way round.

How does hit rate relate to risk-reward?

Breakeven hit rate = 1 ÷ (1 + ratio). At 2 to 1 you need to be right in about 33 % of trades, at 3 to 1 in about 25 %, before costs.

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Related terms

All terms in the options glossary → · Methodology →